5A 3200m State Meet Forecast

       
Region 1-5A Region 2-5A Region 3-5A Region 4-5A
Rachel Johnson Amanda Russell Chrissy Wassef Gabriela Salazar
Ashley Flores Regan Tindell Rosemary Steup Rachel Baptista
       
State Meet Record:    Nicole Jones (Spring Westfield) 10:25.33 (2006)
The athletes: 5A Rankings VS Competition  
Rachel Johnson #2 Beat Steup at Texas Relays
Ashley Flores #18 0 Victories vs compettion in other regions
Amanda Russell #1 Beat Johnson at Texas Relays
Regan Tindell #4 0 Victories vs compettion in other regions
Chrissy Wassef #7 Beat Steup at Region 3-5A
Rosemary Steup #8 Beat Salazar at Texas Relays
Gabriela Salazar #15 Beat Flores at Texas Relays
Rachel Baptista #24 0 Victories vs compettion in other regions
       
The Forecast:      
This is going to be a fun race. I really think there are 5 or 6 girls that could make
a podium trip. It will depend on how the race plays out. I see Rachel Johnson and
Amanda Russell pushing the pace from the front and a group of girls behind trying
to hold on to the pace. The last 1000 meters will be very inportant.
Wassef and Steup ran huge season bests in their regional race so they are fit
when it counts at the end of the season. Tindell is a seasoned vet and ran very
well in the tough Region 2-5A in Waco.  Salazar has been really consistent
all year loing.      
       
       
Alex's Prediction: :    
1. Amanda Russell 10:32    
2. Rachel Johnson 10:34    
3. Regan Tindell 10:50    
       
       
Region 1-5A Region 2-5A Region 3-5A Region 4-5A
Craig Lutz Ryan Dohner Chris Gutierrez Jacob Benn
Neal Smith Parker Stinson John Cavallo Luis Serrano
       
State Meet Record:   Eric Henry (The Woodlands) 8:52.34 (1987)
The athletes: 5A Rankings VS Competition  
Craig Lutz #2 Beat Dohner at Texas Relays
Neal Smith #7 Ran PR at Texas Realys
Ryan Dohner #3 Beat Smith at Texas Relays
Parker Stinson #1 Ran #1 time at Arcardia
Chris Gutierrez #14 Beat Cavallo at Region 3-5A
John Cavallo #15 0 Victories vs compettion in other regions
Jacob Benn #11 Beat Serrano at Region 4-5A
Luis Serrano #46 0 Victories vs compettion in other regions
       
The Forecast:      
I see it coming down to the last 800 between Dohner, Lutz, and Stinson. Lutz
is a great 3200m runner and has shown speed this year running a state leading
4:09 in the 1600m. I believe he takes advantage of his first state track meet 
appearnce and wins pulling away in the last 600. The race between Dohner and
Stinson will be epic. Dohner looked really fit at region 2 beating Stinson in that
race and I see the same thing happening at State. I really think Jacob Benn
is a talent. He has not raced with anyone to truly push him this season. He
has pretty much stayed in the San Antonio area. I think he shows up big at state
running a huge PR and turning some heads.   
       
Alex's Prediction: :    
1. Craig Lutz 8:53    
2. Ryan Dohner 8:55    
3. Parker Stinson 8:56